Tennis picks & analysis

Every pick logged before the match. Graded after. Wins and losses both.

A free pick every week. Members get Locks and against-the-line plays, with the full reasoning behind each one.

30–11
Last run
7–7
New log
50%
Hit rate

14 graded picks so far. Far too few to mean anything. Judge me at 30.

HARD5–5 CLAY2–2

The log is public and permanent. No deleted picks, no quiet losses.

30–11 covers last season's calls on @AceAnalysis8, before this log started. Everything from here is graded on the record above.

See the log

Free picks

Free

New picks every Tuesday and Friday. One of them is always free.

ATP · Montreal · Hard
MICHELSEN
STRUFF
Alex Michelsen to win
Michelsen has been elite this year — 18-7 on hard courts, and he pushed Top-10 Fritz all the way before narrowly going down 8-6 in the deciding tiebreak. Struff sits at 4-8. Surprised the line isn't significantly wider here. Michelsen to advance in Montreal.
Won · 6-1 3-6 6-1
WTA · Washington · Against the line 🔎
EALA
ZHENG
Alexandra Eala to win
The market sides with Zheng on pedigree. Eala has been on fire this year though, including a win over Swiatek at Wimbledon, while Zheng is managing a return from injury. Expect Eala to get it done and advance.
Won · 4-6 6-4 6-1

Locks 🔒

Members

The highest-conviction calls of the week.

Next locks: Tuesday

Members only

The week's highest-conviction calls, with the full reasoning.

Against the line 🔎

Members

Where our read disagrees with the market, and why.

Next plays: Tuesday

Members only

Public log

15 picks

Retirements and walkovers are voided. They don't count either way.

08-02 Michelsen vs Struff — Michelsen HARD FREE W
07-30 Shelton vs Humbert — Shelton HARD 🔒 W
07-30 Kumstat vs Ferreira Silva — Kumstat CLAY 🔒 W
07-30 Rehberg vs Galan — Rehberg CLAY 🔒 🔎 L
07-28 Shelton vs Damm — Shelton HARD 🔒 W
07-28 Eala vs Zheng — Eala HARD FREE 🔎 W
07-27 Musetti vs Arnaldi — Musetti HARD FREE V
07-27 Tiafoe vs Atmane — Tiafoe HARD FREE L
07-27 Kolar vs Kumstat — Kolar CLAY 🔒 🔎 L
07-27 Virtanen vs Romano — Virtanen CLAY 🔒 W
07-27 Kessler vs Zarazua — Kessler HARD 🔒 L
07-27 Tauson vs Cocciaretto — Tauson HARD 🔒 L
07-27 Tien vs Mannarino — Tien HARD 🔒 L
07-27 Pascual Ferra vs Mayo — Pascual Ferra HARD FREE 🔎 L
07-26 Kudermetova vs Lepchenko — Kudermetova HARD FREE W
FREE public pick 🔒 members only 🔎 against the line

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  • Locks: the week's highest-conviction calls, with full reasoning
  • Against the line: where our read splits from the market
  • New picks every Tuesday and Friday, posted before play starts and graded on the same public log
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