Archive
Every graded member pick, with the reasoning that went with it.
Locks and against-the-line plays are members-only until the match is played. Once graded, the pick and result are public — the two most recent write-ups are open to read, the rest are for members.
Wins and losses both. Nothing is edited after the fact.
31 July 2026
ATP · Washington · Hard · Lock 🔒
Ben Shelton to win
Shelton won their only previous meeting in straight sets at the Australian Open earlier this year. He is the higher ranked, has the better 2026 hard-court record and the better year to date, and the home crowd will be firmly behind him. Expect him to advance to the quarter-finals.
Won · 6-7(3-7) 6-3 6-4
30 July 2026
ATP Challenger · Liberec · Clay · Lock 🔒
Jan Kumstat to win
Kumstat has already beaten compatriot Zdenek Kolar and Thiago Seyboth Wild here, both more established than Silva. At 19 he is on the way up, and the 2026 clay records read 15-7 to him against Silva's 13-18. I am surprised he is not a much wider favourite. Expect him to ease into the semis in his home country.
Won · 6-4 7-5
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ATP Challenger · Bonn · Clay · Against the line 🔎
Max Hans Rehberg to win
Rehberg is the lower ranked at 339 to 290 and the head-to-head is split 1-1, but he took their 2026 meeting in straight sets on clay. Year to date he leads 24-12 against Galan's 19-18. He is playing well ahead of his ranking, and I expect him to overwhelm the veteran and advance here in Germany.
🔒 Write-up is members-only
Lost · 4-6 7-6(7-3) 7-6(7-4)
28 July 2026
ATP · Washington · Hard · Lock 🔒
Ben Shelton to win
Top-10 pedigree on Shelton's side. Both men have blistering serves, so plenty of points will go with delivery, but Shelton is the far superior mover and baseliner. He books his spot in the next round.
🔒 Write-up is members-only
Won · 6-4 4-6 6-4
27 July 2026
ATP · Washington · Hard · Lock 🔒
Learner Tien to win
Tien is the higher ranked at 16 to 46, and hard-court form points the same way: 11-6 on the surface this season against Mannarino's 2-7.
🔒 Write-up is members-only
Lost · 7-5 6-4
ATP Challenger · San Marino · Clay · Lock 🔒
Otto Virtanen to win
Virtanen reached the final in Tampere last time out, is the higher ranked of the two, and won their only previous meeting 6-4 6-4 on grass.
🔒 Write-up is members-only
Won · 7-5 6-4
WTA · Washington · Hard · Lock 🔒
Clara Tauson to win
Tauson won the only previous meeting 6-1 6-2, and that came on clay, Cocciaretto's best surface. She also arrives off a strong Athens run, reaching the semis and taking Krejcikova to three sets.
🔒 Write-up is members-only
Lost · 4-6 7-6(7-2) 7-6(7-2)
WTA · Memphis · Hard · Lock 🔒
McCartney Kessler to win
A poor stylistic matchup for Zarazua, who trails the head-to-head 4-0. Neither has played much since the grass season, but Kessler has solid recent wins over Kasatkina and Kalinina.
🔒 Write-up is members-only
Lost · 6-4 6-1
ATP Challenger · Liberec · Clay · Against the line 🔎
Zdenek Kolar to win
Kumstat goes in as the slight favourite, a 19-year-old on the way up. I expect Kolar's experience to tell against his younger countryman and for him to grind this one out.
🔒 Write-up is members-only
Lost · 6-2 4-6 6-3